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Euro vs Pound – Brexit Impact

When judging the likelihood of a Brexit I prefer not to listen to polls as they never seem to get it right.  Currently, polls are showing 50-55% to stay in and 45-50% a Brexit depending on which one you look at.  I prefer to look at what the real experts are saying, the guys who put their money where their mouths are and use every resource and data available.  These are the bookies!  Both William Hill and Paddy Power are offering odds of 1/3 that the UK will stay in and 9/4 for a Brexit.  This averaged out indicates around a 30% chance of the Brexit happening.

When investing I try to eliminate extra risks for my clients so it is best to keep things simple.  If you hold Euros and live in Spain, invest in Euros.  If you hold Sterling invest in Sterling and do not change for change’s sake as this will just create additional costs and risks that are not needed.

I have been a fully-qualified financial adviser for 28 years and also understand the needs of expats and the rules that apply to ex-British living and retiring in Spain. So if you need to talk through your own situation then please feel free to contact me and we can have a no obligation discussion about the best way forward for your investments. Get in touch by filling in one of our contact forms.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

Expats deserve guarantees

Representatives of UK nationals who are uncertain as to what to do with their expat regular savings assets have called on MPs to take urgent action so that they do not have to go through a period of extended limbo while waiting for Brexit negotiations to be finalised.

The list of concerns is becoming increasingly longer, particularly now that Prime Minister Theresa May has indicated that she may pursue a hard Brexit, with pension uprating, healthcare and expat regular savings at the forefront of the issues currently challenging British expats living in the European Union.

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City watchdog to probe pension freedom rip-offs

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has launched the investigation amid concerns that savers are in danger of being ripped off when they cash in their pensions. Insurers are to be probed by the City regulator over fears they are offering poor deals to savers who take advantage of new pension freedoms to dip into their nest eggs.

As you are probably aware from previous articles, new rules were introduced last year to allow savers to cash in their pension pots to spend as they like, rather than turning them into an annuity to pay for an income for life.  Reportedly, fears are growing that many customers are choosing the first pension their insurer offers them and risk missing out on the best deals. Findings suggest that in the final quarter of last year, 53 per cent of savers who chose to dip into their pensions stuck with the same insurer, while 57 per cent of those who signed up for an annuity didn’t move elsewhere.

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