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Euro vs Pound – Brexit Impact

When judging the likelihood of a Brexit I prefer not to listen to polls as they never seem to get it right.  Currently, polls are showing 50-55% to stay in and 45-50% a Brexit depending on which one you look at.  I prefer to look at what the real experts are saying, the guys who put their money where their mouths are and use every resource and data available.  These are the bookies!  Both William Hill and Paddy Power are offering odds of 1/3 that the UK will stay in and 9/4 for a Brexit.  This averaged out indicates around a 30% chance of the Brexit happening.

When investing I try to eliminate extra risks for my clients so it is best to keep things simple.  If you hold Euros and live in Spain, invest in Euros.  If you hold Sterling invest in Sterling and do not change for change’s sake as this will just create additional costs and risks that are not needed.

I have been a fully-qualified financial adviser for 28 years and also understand the needs of expats and the rules that apply to ex-British living and retiring in Spain. So if you need to talk through your own situation then please feel free to contact me and we can have a no obligation discussion about the best way forward for your investments. Get in touch by filling in one of our contact forms.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

NEWS WRAP – Lost Pensions Worth £37 Billion

Woman searching for documentsMany British retirement savers could retire two years earlier than they realise, according to a new piece of research from pensions advice firm Profile Pensions*.

This, says the firm, is because one in four over 55s have lost track of their pension funds, a fact that helps to account for a significant proportion of the UK’s approximately 1.6 million unclaimed pension pots. It is estimated that these funds have a combined value of around £37 billion.

The situation is even worse for younger retirement savers, with three in ten 25-34 year-olds saying they have lost track of a pension. One in ten respondents were not sure whether they would be able to account for all their pensions.

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Why are our pensions in crisis?

Official figures have revealed that pension funds have plummeted a further £25 million into the red. The fall in bond yields – on which pension funds rely – has increased the pressure on the pots available to support final salary scheme pay-outs. At the end of May, the pension backstop PPF (Pension Protection Fund) revealed that the roughly five and a half thousand pension schemes it monitors have a combined deficit of nearly £295 billion. This is almost £25.5 billion worse than a month earlier.

Fears for the robustness of pension pots have been highlighted by the widely reported BHS deficit.  They come as a separate study reveals some of Britain’s biggest companies are paying shareholders a dividend bonanza despite huge deficits of their own. The Pensions Regulator have issued a similar warning in the past, saying: ‘It is important that employers treat their pension scheme fairly. We expect trustees to question employers’ dividend policies where debt recovery contributions are constrained.’ 

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