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Euro vs Pound – Brexit Impact

When judging the likelihood of a Brexit I prefer not to listen to polls as they never seem to get it right.  Currently, polls are showing 50-55% to stay in and 45-50% a Brexit depending on which one you look at.  I prefer to look at what the real experts are saying, the guys who put their money where their mouths are and use every resource and data available.  These are the bookies!  Both William Hill and Paddy Power are offering odds of 1/3 that the UK will stay in and 9/4 for a Brexit.  This averaged out indicates around a 30% chance of the Brexit happening.

When investing I try to eliminate extra risks for my clients so it is best to keep things simple.  If you hold Euros and live in Spain, invest in Euros.  If you hold Sterling invest in Sterling and do not change for change’s sake as this will just create additional costs and risks that are not needed.

I have been a fully-qualified financial adviser for 28 years and also understand the needs of expats and the rules that apply to ex-British living and retiring in Spain. So if you need to talk through your own situation then please feel free to contact me and we can have a no obligation discussion about the best way forward for your investments. Get in touch by filling in one of our contact forms.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

Spanish Tax Office’s Gibraltar crackdown

50 Euro NoteSpanish newspaper ABC has reported that tax authorities in the country are cracking down on expats who fraudulently claim Gibraltar residency for the purposes of wealth management.

Apparently the measures have already led to the collection of €20 million from 160 high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) claiming residency in Gibraltar when in fact they lived in nearby Andalucía. This meant that, on average, €125,000 was collected from each HNWI.

Jorge Ramírez, a representative of the Tax Agency in Andalucía, told the newspaper, “A tracking system was used to collect verifiable documentary evidence, and we found some Gibraltarians whose primary financial interests were actually entirely situated in Spain.”

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Expats’ EHIC-Style Rights Guarantee a Step Closer

Blood pressure monitorBritish expats abroad have taken heart from the announcement that the government has introduced a bill to replicate the European Health Insurance Card (EHIC), meaning that expats should continue to receive healthcare abroad even in the event of a no-deal Brexit.

As it stands, EHIC entitles Britons to state health care when in an EU or EEA country (European Economic Area) for treatments that are “medically necessary” as well as those for pre-existing conditions. Furthermore, as long as a person has not travelled abroad with the specific intention of giving birth there, they are also entitled to routine maternity care.

Although the Healthcare (International Arrangements) Bill does not replace EHIC it clears a pathway to a fast-track bill that will “provide the powers that are needed” in the event of British citizens’ healthcare rights being threatened by Brexit. It also means that, contrary to the fears of many expats, affording private medical insurance may not be an issue they will need to discuss with their expat financial services provider.

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