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Euro vs Pound – Brexit Impact

When judging the likelihood of a Brexit I prefer not to listen to polls as they never seem to get it right.  Currently, polls are showing 50-55% to stay in and 45-50% a Brexit depending on which one you look at.  I prefer to look at what the real experts are saying, the guys who put their money where their mouths are and use every resource and data available.  These are the bookies!  Both William Hill and Paddy Power are offering odds of 1/3 that the UK will stay in and 9/4 for a Brexit.  This averaged out indicates around a 30% chance of the Brexit happening.

When investing I try to eliminate extra risks for my clients so it is best to keep things simple.  If you hold Euros and live in Spain, invest in Euros.  If you hold Sterling invest in Sterling and do not change for change’s sake as this will just create additional costs and risks that are not needed.

I have been a fully-qualified financial adviser for 28 years and also understand the needs of expats and the rules that apply to ex-British living and retiring in Spain. So if you need to talk through your own situation then please feel free to contact me and we can have a no obligation discussion about the best way forward for your investments. Get in touch by filling in one of our contact forms.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

To Brexit or not to Brexit, that is the question

400 years of Shakespeare and we are still pondering over the question! 

I recently returned from London – more specifically the City of London – and was rather surprised to find out that the financial ‘experts’ were still in a state of flux, arguing over the theoretical economical fall out, on the day after of the fast approaching in/out referendum. I came to the conclusion, after pouring through reams of editorial columns from “would be” financial gurus, that the prognosis relating to the likely impact on the FTSE100 on the 24th of June – the day after – was that the general consensus converged on a simple equation; if the in campaign wins the day, there would be an immediate 5% appreciation. Conversely, if the out campaign has it, the FTSE100 would suffer a dramatic 10% loss.

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FAQ – Should I Worry About Lifetime Allowance?

Lifetime AllowanceIf you are worried about the Lifetime Allowance (LTA), we understand. LTA is a limit on the amount of pension benefit that can be drawn from pensions schemes without an extra charge being triggered.

Not only can the LTA seem complicated, it can also come across as an instrument that does little more than unfairly punish the most prudent and hardworking of retirement savers, particularly those who have taken advantage of what Albert Einstein once dubbed the “eighth wonder of the world”: compound interest.

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