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Euro vs Pound – Brexit Impact

When judging the likelihood of a Brexit I prefer not to listen to polls as they never seem to get it right.  Currently, polls are showing 50-55% to stay in and 45-50% a Brexit depending on which one you look at.  I prefer to look at what the real experts are saying, the guys who put their money where their mouths are and use every resource and data available.  These are the bookies!  Both William Hill and Paddy Power are offering odds of 1/3 that the UK will stay in and 9/4 for a Brexit.  This averaged out indicates around a 30% chance of the Brexit happening.

When investing I try to eliminate extra risks for my clients so it is best to keep things simple.  If you hold Euros and live in Spain, invest in Euros.  If you hold Sterling invest in Sterling and do not change for change’s sake as this will just create additional costs and risks that are not needed.

I have been a fully-qualified financial adviser for 28 years and also understand the needs of expats and the rules that apply to ex-British living and retiring in Spain. So if you need to talk through your own situation then please feel free to contact me and we can have a no obligation discussion about the best way forward for your investments. Get in touch by filling in one of our contact forms.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

Expats returning to Britain could put a huge strain on NHS

StethoscopeThe Nuffield Trust has recently unveiled some worrying predictions regarding what tens of thousands of expats returning to the UK for healthcare following Brexit could mean for the NHS.

The independent health charity has released a report warning that the NHS will face an even bigger financial strain than it is already under if expats are forced to return to Britain because they can no longer receive funded healthcare in the EU.

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Could the UK’s state pension fund run out in 14 years?

Pound coins stacked in pilesThe defined benefit scheme – whereby the employer promises the employee a specified payment upon retirement, the amount of which is calculated based on several factors including the years the contributor has been in the scheme, their age, and their salary at retirement – is no longer viable in today’s world.

Recently, the high-profile collapse of the construction firm Carillion has served as yet another example of why this is the case.

The collapse means that, just like in the heavily reported case of retail giant BHS, thousands of employees are likely to have their carefully laid out retirement plans affected. Now that the company has gone into liquidation, it cannot afford to pay employees their expected pension amount, leading to yet another sizeable pensions black hole with a deficit of around £580 million (although the BBC reports that the final figure could be as high as £900 million).

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