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Is another Banking crisis just waiting to happen?

A study by the Adam Smith Institute (ASI) said the Bank’s tests – designed to measure whether a bank could withstand a severe financial shock – give false comfort by overstating the resilience of the finance sector.

“It is disturbing that 10 years on from Northern Rock, the best measure of leverage – those based on market values – indicate that UK banks are even more leveraged than they were then.

“The biggest risk facing the UK banking system now is the Bank of England’s own complacency.”

The report said high bank leverage had helped fan the flames of the financial crisis, while market valuations of UK lenders indicate that some have hidden losses.

And for those thinking, “I’m OK, I don’t have my money in UK Banks.” Do you believe that the banks in Europe are any better? Just look at the current state of Italian banks. And then there’s the recent collapse of Banco Popular, the 6th largest bank in Spain, which only last year passed the stress tests with flying colours.

The collapse of Northern Rock didn’t just highlight the fragile state of the banking sector across the world, it has caused repercussions still being felt 10 years on; pensioners and savers are still suffering due to low interest rates, which have meant that in real terms they are losing money year on year as they are unable to keep up with growing levels of inflation.

In September 2007, a £40,000 savings pot would have earned a couple annual interest of £2,679, when the best rate on an easy access savings account was 6.5%, from West Bromwich Building Society. This compares to today’s best-buy rate of just 1.25% from Ulster Bank. This would generate a paltry £503 over 12 months — or £2,176 less.

Today, the only real alternative that can possibly offer the potential to outperform inflation is investing your money.

This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, investment recommendations or investment research. You should seek advice from a professional adviser before embarking on any financial planning activity. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information contained in this communication is correct, we are not responsible for any errors or omissions.

Other News

How to invest wisely during the Coronavirus meltdown

Mark HollingsworthAt time of writing, global stockmarkets have witnessed some of the largest daily fluctuations since the financial crisis; on the back of continued concerns with the virus and how long it will last and the impact on the global economy.

For new investors this can be extremely worrying times as you will not have been used to such short-term volatility. For seasoned investors who went through the financial crisis of 2008, the technology bubble of 2000 and even black Monday in 1987, the short term pain being witnessed is often seen as a confirmation that although stockmarkets can’t always go up, over the long term, they always have done so.   With this in mind, it is important to remain calm and not change your investment time horizon. If for example you are saving for your retirement ten years from now; then maintain that timescale and don’t panic sell on the back of a matter of weeks of market downturns. The reason for this is that the coronavirus is an unforeseen event as opposed to their being any change to market fundamentals. Parallels can be drawn with the SARS outbreak in 2003. Markets fell over 14% at that time, yet the year ended up 18% higher – a swing of over 30% from bottom to top.

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Bitcoins – tulip mania?

BitcoinsThe later part of the 20th century saw its fair share of financial bubbles. There was the property bubble, stock market bubbles, and then the dot com bubble of 2000, just to name a few. In each instance, people paid exorbitant amounts for things that shouldn’t have been worth anything like the going price. But this is nothing new – look back at the Dutch in the 17th century when already pricey tulip bulbs experienced a twentyfold price explosion in just a single month.

By the peak of tulipmania in February 1637, a single tulip bulb was worth about ten times a craftsman’s annual income and a single Viceroy tulip bulb was allegedly exchanged for eight fat swine, twelve fat sheep or four tuns of beer.

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